🐻⬇️🏀

@
2021-02-18

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 24.0% 76.0% -
Bradley-Terry 32.5% 67.5% -
Margin 21.0% 79.0% +7.3 (15.3 off)
Pythagorean 48.4% 51.6% -
Efficiency 52.4% 47.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 52.4% 47.6% -
Log Adjusted 52.3% 47.7% -
Points Off/Def 46.2% 53.8% -

Actual: Boston Celtics -8 (114-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trae Young * 35 14-20 4-9 8-8 3 8 2 0 40 - -
Cam Reddish * 34 5-8 1-2 2-2 6 3 2 0 13 - -
Kevin Huerter * 34 3-7 1-4 0-0 2 2 2 0 7 - -
Clint Capela * 32 10-13 0-0 4-8 13 0 0 1 24 - -
John Collins * 27 6-9 0-0 8-8 6 2 0 1 20 - -
Danilo Gallinari 24 3-13 2-6 1-1 2 1 0 0 9 - -
Solomon Hill 17 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 - -
Tony Snell 16 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Skylar Mays 12 1-1 0-0 3-4 2 2 1 0 5 - -
Bruno Fernando 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylen Brown * 35 6-20 2-7 8-8 3 7 0 0 22 - -
Jayson Tatum * 34 11-21 3-9 10-11 6 6 2 0 35 - -
Tristan Thompson * 27 6-8 0-0 2-2 7 0 3 0 14 - -
Semi Ojeleye * 24 3-7 3-5 0-0 4 1 2 0 9 - -
Javonte Green * 23 2-4 1-1 4-4 3 0 2 0 9 - -
Payton Pritchard 22 5-11 1-5 0-0 2 2 0 0 11 - -
Grant Williams 22 2-6 0-2 0-0 1 3 0 0 4 - -
Aaron Nesmith 21 1-2 0-1 0-0 6 2 0 1 2 - -
Robert Williams III 19 4-5 0-0 0-2 3 1 0 2 8 - -
Jeff Teague 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter