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2021-02-18

Model Predictions

Model Denver Nuggets Washington Wizards Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 68.7% 31.3% -
Margin 78.7% 21.3% -7.2 (9.2 off)
Pythagorean 55.1% 44.9% -
Efficiency 70.9% 29.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 69.1% 30.9% -
Log Adjusted 69.1% 30.9% -
Points Off/Def 58.7% 41.3% -

Actual: Washington Wizards +2 (130-128). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jamal Murray * 39 13-25 5-10 4-5 9 6 1 1 35 - -
Nikola Jokic * 36 12-21 3-5 6-6 7 9 2 0 33 - -
Michael Porter Jr. * 30 5-11 2-7 2-2 7 1 2 1 14 - -
JaMychal Green * 29 3-4 2-3 1-1 10 2 0 4 9 - -
Gary Harris * 28 1-5 0-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 - -
Facundo Campazzo 25 5-7 2-4 2-3 1 1 2 0 14 - -
Monte Morris 19 3-8 1-2 0-0 3 2 1 0 7 - -
Zeke Nnaji 13 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 - -
Isaiah Hartenstein 9 4-5 0-0 0-1 1 1 0 1 8 - -
R.J. Hampton 7 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Russell Westbrook * 39 5-15 0-2 2-6 13 12 2 1 12 - -
Bradley Beal * 36 8-20 1-5 8-8 4 10 0 0 25 - -
Rui Hachimura * 29 5-11 1-4 3-3 4 3 1 0 14 - -
Garrison Mathews * 16 2-6 2-6 2-3 1 1 0 0 8 - -
Moritz Wagner * 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Davis Bertans 29 9-11 9-11 8-8 3 1 1 1 35 - -
Robin Lopez 26 4-6 0-0 1-1 4 0 1 0 9 - -
Raul Neto 20 5-5 1-1 3-3 2 1 1 0 14 - -
Deni Avdija 20 1-3 1-3 0-0 7 2 1 0 3 - -
Alex Len 17 5-8 0-0 0-2 8 1 0 1 10 - -

* = starter