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2021-03-19

Model Predictions

Model San Antonio Spurs Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 38.2% 61.8% -
Margin 29.4% 70.6% +4.8 (10.8 off)
Pythagorean 57.8% 42.2% -
Efficiency 70.3% 29.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 69.9% 30.1% -
Log Adjusted 69.9% 30.1% -
Points Off/Def 57.6% 42.4% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -6 (110-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Keldon Johnson * 39 9-19 0-1 5-7 21 2 1 2 23 - -
Dejounte Murray * 36 8-15 0-1 6-7 6 3 0 0 22 - -
DeMar DeRozan * 36 7-12 0-0 6-7 1 7 0 0 20 - -
Derrick White * 34 4-11 2-5 7-7 4 2 0 0 17 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 25 4-8 0-0 0-0 12 1 1 2 8 - -
Patty Mills 25 3-10 3-8 3-3 0 2 1 0 12 - -
Rudy Gay 16 4-8 2-2 0-2 4 1 1 0 10 - -
Drew Eubanks 11 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 4 - -
Devin Vassell 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 - -
Tre Jones 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Collin Sexton * 38 12-25 3-6 2-3 5 2 0 0 29 - -
Darius Garland * 36 8-16 2-4 11-11 1 8 1 0 29 - -
Larry Nance Jr. * 33 3-8 0-2 1-2 4 1 3 1 7 - -
Jarrett Allen * 32 6-8 0-0 3-4 11 2 0 2 15 - -
Isaac Okoro * 21 1-4 1-1 1-4 2 1 1 0 4 - -
Dean Wade 19 2-7 0-3 0-0 7 0 0 1 4 - -
Cedi Osman 18 0-6 0-5 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 - -
Lamar Stevens 17 4-9 0-2 7-8 11 1 1 0 15 - -
Brodric Thomas 15 3-5 1-3 0-0 0 3 1 0 7 - -
Dylan Windler 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter