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2021-05-06

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Elo 57.9% 42.1% -
Bradley-Terry 55.2% 44.8% -
Margin 55.4% 44.6% -1.2 (19.8 off)
Pythagorean 49.3% 50.7% -
Efficiency 52.4% 47.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 51.6% 48.4% -
Log Adjusted 51.6% 48.4% -
Points Off/Def 46.3% 53.7% -

Actual: Charlotte Hornets -21 (99-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nikola Vucevic * 30 12-24 5-7 0-0 14 3 2 1 29 - -
Coby White * 30 5-12 3-8 1-2 4 6 0 0 14 - -
Zach LaVine * 27 5-11 3-8 0-0 3 2 0 0 13 - -
Daniel Theis * 26 5-8 1-2 1-2 7 2 2 2 12 - -
Patrick Williams * 26 4-5 0-0 3-5 9 2 0 1 11 - -
Garrett Temple 23 5-11 2-5 0-0 3 2 2 1 12 - -
Lauri Markkanen 20 4-5 2-3 0-0 7 1 1 2 10 - -
Tomas Satoransky 19 2-3 1-2 1-2 1 4 0 0 6 - -
Thaddeus Young 19 3-8 0-0 1-3 6 8 2 1 7 - -
Javonte Green 7 0-2 0-1 3-3 1 2 1 0 3 - -
Ryan Arcidiacono 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Devon Dotson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Cristiano Felicio 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Denzel Valentine 1 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P.J. Washington * 33 9-14 6-8 0-0 6 2 2 0 24 - -
Jalen McDaniels * 31 4-10 1-3 0-3 3 1 1 2 9 - -
Terry Rozier * 26 5-16 2-6 0-2 8 3 3 0 12 - -
LaMelo Ball * 23 1-10 0-2 2-4 4 9 0 0 4 - -
Bismack Biyombo * 18 1-2 0-0 0-0 6 3 0 0 2 - -
Malik Monk 31 7-16 6-11 0-0 4 7 0 0 20 - -
Caleb Martin 26 2-6 1-3 2-4 3 1 2 0 7 - -
Brad Wanamaker 20 2-4 0-1 2-2 3 2 2 0 6 - -
Cody Zeller 18 5-7 0-1 1-3 5 1 1 1 11 - -
Vernon Carey Jr. 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Grant Riller 1 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 - -
Nick Richards 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Nate Darling 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter