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2021-02-17

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 51.3% 48.7% -
Bradley-Terry 32.6% 67.4% -
Margin 30.7% 69.3% +4.5 (15.5 off)
Pythagorean 40.9% 59.1% -
Efficiency 26.4% 73.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 28.3% 71.7% -
Log Adjusted 28.3% 71.7% -
Points Off/Def 30.7% 69.3% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -11 (113-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pascal Siakam * 38 8-23 2-8 5-6 13 6 1 0 23 - -
Fred VanVleet * 38 12-22 5-12 4-6 4 7 2 0 33 - -
Norman Powell * 34 4-7 1-4 2-2 3 3 1 0 11 - -
OG Anunoby * 26 5-9 2-5 1-1 7 1 1 1 13 - -
Kyle Lowry * 21 7-12 3-5 1-1 6 6 2 0 18 - -
Chris Boucher 30 4-8 4-7 2-2 6 1 0 5 14 - -
DeAndre' Bembry 18 3-3 0-0 0-2 0 0 1 0 6 - -
Aron Baynes 17 2-3 0-0 0-1 4 1 0 0 4 - -
Terence Davis 7 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Matt Thomas 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Khris Middleton * 37 4-8 1-3 2-2 7 0 2 0 11 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 37 11-20 2-4 10-14 10 8 5 2 34 - -
Donte DiVincenzo * 31 5-14 1-8 1-2 3 8 0 0 12 - -
Brook Lopez * 29 2-5 1-2 4-4 5 0 0 0 9 - -
Bryn Forbes * 25 3-7 3-5 2-3 2 0 1 0 11 - -
Pat Connaughton 31 8-15 4-10 0-0 5 1 0 3 20 - -
Bobby Portis 23 7-11 2-3 0-0 6 2 1 0 16 - -
D.J. Augustin 15 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 6 0 0 0 - -
Torrey Craig 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 - -
Thanasis Antetokounmpo 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter