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2021-02-17

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 38.8% 61.2% -
Bradley-Terry 28.1% 71.9% -
Margin 20.7% 79.3% +7.4 (38.4 off)
Pythagorean 46.0% 54.0% -
Efficiency 44.4% 55.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 43.1% 56.9% -
Log Adjusted 43.1% 56.9% -
Points Off/Def 40.7% 59.3% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -31 (113-144). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Ingram * 31 8-13 4-4 2-2 4 7 2 1 22 - -
Zion Williamson * 28 13-16 1-1 4-4 7 6 2 0 31 - -
Lonzo Ball * 27 5-12 2-7 1-2 3 5 2 0 13 - -
Steven Adams * 23 4-5 0-0 0-2 7 0 3 2 8 - -
Eric Bledsoe * 23 3-7 1-4 0-0 3 5 2 1 7 - -
Josh Hart 31 10-16 6-11 1-1 9 2 0 0 27 - -
Kira Lewis Jr. 22 2-6 0-2 0-0 1 4 1 0 4 - -
Willy Hernangomez 19 5-6 0-0 4-4 8 1 1 0 14 - -
JJ Redick 18 2-6 2-6 1-2 1 1 1 0 7 - -
Jaxson Hayes 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 - -
Sindarius Thornwell 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Nicolo Melli 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ja Morant * 30 12-16 1-3 3-4 7 8 0 0 28 - -
Dillon Brooks * 29 7-14 4-6 0-0 4 2 1 0 18 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 28 5-11 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 0 10 - -
Grayson Allen * 25 3-7 2-5 0-0 1 3 0 0 8 - -
Kyle Anderson * 25 6-13 2-5 5-6 6 3 1 0 19 - -
John Konchar 23 0-4 0-3 2-2 2 0 3 0 2 - -
Xavier Tillman 19 2-4 1-1 0-0 3 1 2 0 5 - -
Sean McDermott 18 3-4 2-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 8 - -
Tyus Jones 17 0-5 0-2 2-2 2 3 2 0 2 - -
Brandon Clarke 15 3-6 0-0 2-2 2 2 1 0 8 - -
Gorgui Dieng 5 1-4 1-2 2-2 0 0 0 0 5 - -

* = starter