Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.1% | 53.9% | +0.9 | ✗ (10.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -10 (99-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dejounte Murray * | 33 | 9-13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 23 | - | |
| Keldon Johnson * | 31 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV * | 28 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 25 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 25 | - | |
| Derrick White * | 24 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 22 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - | |
| Patty Mills | 22 | 5-9 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 8 | - | |
| Devin Vassell | 21 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - | |
| Rudy Gay | 20 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - | |
| Tre Jones | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - | |
| Quinndary Weatherspoon | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Luka Samanic | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delon Wright * | 31 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - | |
| Jerami Grant * | 26 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 5-10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - | |
| Saddiq Bey * | 26 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - | |
| Rodney McGruder * | 24 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | - | |
| Mason Plumlee * | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 19 | - | |
| Josh Jackson | 26 | 6-13 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 7 | - | |
| Isaiah Stewart | 24 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - | |
| Saben Lee | 20 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - | |
| Frank Jackson | 18 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - | |
| Sekou Doumbouya | 14 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - | |
| Deividas Sirvydis | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter