Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.5% | 68.5% | +4.3 | ✓ (8.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Boston Celtics +13 (112-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Facundo Campazzo * | 39 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 37 | 16-23 | 3-5 | 8-8 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 43 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 33 | 9-16 | 4-8 | 3-3 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green * | 28 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 24 | 0-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 26 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| R.J. Hampton | 23 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Markus Howard | 10 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | 10 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Brown * | 36 | 11-20 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Jayson Tatum * | 32 | 6-18 | 1-8 | 8-8 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Kemba Walker * | 31 | 5-13 | 3-8 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Semi Ojeleye * | 29 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Tristan Thompson * | 27 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith | 24 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Payton Pritchard | 22 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Robert Williams III | 20 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Javonte Green | 14 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter