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2021-02-16

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 44.7% 55.3% -
Bradley-Terry 38.9% 61.1% -
Margin 33.8% 66.2% +3.7 (7.3 off)
Pythagorean 46.2% 53.8% -
Efficiency 45.2% 54.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 47.9% 52.1% -
Log Adjusted 47.9% 52.1% -
Points Off/Def 43.8% 56.2% -

Actual: New York Knicks +11 (123-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trae Young * 39 6-19 1-4 10-12 3 8 1 0 23 - -
Clint Capela * 36 7-11 0-0 1-2 18 1 1 2 15 - -
Kevin Huerter * 36 2-12 1-9 3-3 1 5 2 0 8 - -
Cam Reddish * 35 4-12 2-8 6-6 6 2 0 2 16 - -
John Collins * 30 8-14 3-3 0-0 4 0 1 1 19 - -
Danilo Gallinari 26 3-5 3-4 7-7 5 0 0 1 16 - -
Solomon Hill 17 2-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 - -
Skylar Mays 14 4-8 1-3 2-2 3 1 0 0 11 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julius Randle * 40 14-22 7-13 9-12 9 5 0 0 44 - -
RJ Barrett * 32 8-14 3-3 2-3 6 3 1 0 21 - -
Nerlens Noel * 27 3-3 0-0 0-0 4 2 2 3 6 - -
Elfrid Payton * 24 5-12 0-1 2-2 7 1 1 0 12 - -
Reggie Bullock * 22 3-7 2-5 0-0 2 2 0 0 8 - -
Derrick Rose 23 3-9 0-1 2-2 3 3 0 2 8 - -
Immanuel Quickley 21 4-11 4-8 4-4 2 5 0 0 16 - -
Alec Burks 19 1-3 0-2 2-2 4 1 1 0 4 - -
Taj Gibson 16 0-0 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 1 1 - -
Obi Toppin 11 1-2 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter