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2021-02-16

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 63.4% 36.6% -
Bradley-Terry 48.0% 52.0% -
Margin 45.3% 54.7% +1.0 (9.0 off)
Pythagorean 46.5% 53.5% -
Efficiency 46.5% 53.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 45.1% 54.9% -
Log Adjusted 45.1% 54.9% -
Points Off/Def 41.9% 58.1% -

Actual: Indiana Pacers -8 (112-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Coby White * 43 7-18 1-6 4-4 7 8 0 0 19 - -
Garrett Temple * 38 6-11 2-4 2-2 4 1 2 1 16 - -
Zach LaVine * 38 11-25 4-9 4-6 9 3 0 0 30 - -
Patrick Williams * 26 2-10 1-2 2-2 9 1 0 1 7 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 20 4-7 0-0 3-4 9 1 1 0 11 - -
Denzel Valentine 32 3-9 3-5 2-2 4 2 0 0 11 - -
Thaddeus Young 29 6-8 0-0 1-1 11 4 2 0 13 - -
Tomas Satoransky 21 5-9 2-2 1-1 3 4 1 0 13 - -
Luke Kornet 8 0-5 0-5 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Ryan Arcidiacono 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Domantas Sabonis * 43 7-19 0-2 11-14 10 5 1 4 25 - -
T.J. McConnell * 42 8-9 1-1 2-3 4 3 3 2 19 - -
Malcolm Brogdon * 41 10-25 1-7 2-2 15 5 1 0 23 - -
Justin Holiday * 41 5-14 4-12 1-2 5 1 1 1 15 - -
Myles Turner * 36 2-10 1-6 6-6 6 2 1 6 11 - -
Jeremy Lamb 25 5-8 2-4 0-0 5 2 1 0 12 - -
Aaron Holiday 18 1-6 0-1 2-2 1 0 1 1 4 - -
Edmond Sumner 11 1-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Goga Bitadze 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
JaKarr Sampson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter