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2021-02-15

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 24.0% 76.0% -
Bradley-Terry 22.2% 77.8% -
Margin 15.5% 84.5% +9.3 (9.7 off)
Pythagorean 27.5% 72.5% -
Efficiency 7.0% 93.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 8.2% 91.8% -
Log Adjusted 8.2% 91.8% -
Points Off/Def 16.2% 83.8% -

Actual: Phoenix Suns +19 (109-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Terrence Ross * 36 9-23 3-10 2-3 6 5 0 1 23 - -
Dwayne Bacon * 32 6-12 0-6 7-7 2 1 1 0 19 - -
Michael Carter-Williams * 29 5-14 0-1 4-6 2 4 0 0 14 - -
Gary Clark * 28 0-4 0-4 0-0 7 1 1 0 0 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 27 4-14 1-4 5-6 10 0 2 1 14 - -
Khem Birch 33 4-6 1-2 0-0 6 1 0 1 9 - -
Chuma Okeke 28 4-9 1-5 0-0 4 1 0 1 9 - -
Mo Bamba 23 1-7 0-3 0-0 11 0 0 2 2 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 34 10-16 1-3 6-7 4 6 0 0 27 - -
Mikal Bridges * 30 7-13 3-5 4-4 5 1 2 0 21 - -
Deandre Ayton * 30 5-7 0-1 0-0 13 1 0 0 10 - -
Chris Paul * 28 5-9 2-3 0-0 6 9 2 0 12 - -
Frank Kaminsky * 19 2-7 0-3 0-0 8 0 0 0 4 - -
Jae Crowder 24 4-13 4-13 0-0 8 2 1 1 12 - -
Cameron Johnson 19 1-5 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 1 3 - -
Cameron Payne 19 3-8 1-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 7 - -
Dario Saric 15 2-7 0-2 3-3 5 0 0 0 7 - -
E'Twaun Moore 9 0-3 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 0 2 - -
Jevon Carter 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Abdel Nader 2 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 4 - -
Damian Jones 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Langston Galloway 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter