Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.9% | 84.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.8% | 73.2% | +5.5 | ✓ (11.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +17 (122-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 30 | 9-18 | 0-5 | 4-7 | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Dennis Schroder * | 27 | 3-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 18 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Marc Gasol * | 17 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Anthony Davis * | 14 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Kyle Kuzma | 26 | 8-12 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Talen Horton-Tucker | 24 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Montrezl Harrell | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Alex Caruso | 19 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Wesley Matthews | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Markieff Morris | 9 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Quinn Cook | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Alfonzo McKinnie | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 34 | 8-17 | 1-5 | 6-6 | 16 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 34 | 7-15 | 4-10 | 7-7 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris * | 30 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 29 | 3-11 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Paul Millsap * | 15 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 25 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 4-5 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 23 | 5-7 | 4-5 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| R.J. Hampton | 20 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 6 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Markus Howard | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter