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2021-02-15

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 54.2% 45.8% -
Bradley-Terry 48.8% 51.2% -
Margin 50.5% 49.5% -0.1 (3.9 off)
Pythagorean 39.6% 60.4% -
Efficiency 29.5% 70.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 32.5% 67.5% -
Log Adjusted 32.4% 67.6% -
Points Off/Def 33.3% 66.7% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors -4 (112-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Malik Beasley * 37 7-13 6-10 0-0 3 6 1 0 20 - -
Anthony Edwards * 34 7-15 1-7 3-4 7 3 1 0 18 - -
Karl-Anthony Towns * 33 8-11 2-3 2-4 11 3 1 3 20 - -
Ricky Rubio * 29 6-13 4-8 0-0 1 5 0 0 16 - -
Jarred Vanderbilt * 23 4-5 0-0 4-4 7 2 0 2 12 - -
Jaden McDaniels 18 2-3 1-2 1-2 2 2 0 1 6 - -
Jordan McLaughlin 18 2-4 0-0 2-2 3 4 2 1 6 - -
Naz Reid 13 1-5 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 - -
Jaylen Nowell 13 4-6 1-3 2-3 0 2 1 1 11 - -
Juancho Hernangomez 9 2-4 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 5 - -
Josh Okogie 7 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Lowry * 40 6-12 2-4 10-12 4 4 2 0 24 - -
Fred VanVleet * 37 8-21 4-12 2-2 3 6 0 0 22 - -
Norman Powell * 36 8-12 2-3 4-5 5 1 0 0 22 - -
Pascal Siakam * 36 6-19 1-3 5-5 8 6 2 1 18 - -
Aron Baynes * 23 3-7 0-2 0-0 5 1 1 0 6 - -
DeAndre' Bembry 21 3-6 0-2 3-5 4 2 0 0 9 - -
Chris Boucher 18 2-6 0-2 2-2 4 1 0 1 6 - -
Stanley Johnson 13 0-2 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 - -
Terence Davis 11 2-6 1-4 0-0 1 3 1 0 5 - -

* = starter