Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 23.0% | 77.0% | +6.6 | ✗ (9.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -3 (118-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Covington * | 38 | 5-7 | 4-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Damian Lillard * | 36 | 12-26 | 5-11 | 5-7 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 34 | - | - | |
| Gary Trent Jr. * | 35 | 6-13 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. * | 32 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Enes Kanter * | 23 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Carmelo Anthony | 31 | 7-17 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Anfernee Simons | 24 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Harry Giles III | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Nassir Little | 4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 36 | 14-20 | 5-8 | 11-12 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 44 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 34 | 5-8 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 31 | 5-9 | 0-3 | 8-8 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson * | 25 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber * | 25 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 34 | 5-12 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 27 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Willie Cauley-Stein | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - | - | |
| Trey Burke | 9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter