Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Utah Jazz | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.0% | 55.0% | +1.1 | ✓ (16.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 16.3% | 83.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.8% | 82.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah Jazz +18 (112-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo * | 36 | 7-17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Kendrick Nunn * | 34 | 8-15 | 4-9 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 31 | 3-10 | 1-2 | 8-12 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk * | 30 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 27 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 32 | 5-16 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Max Strus | 20 | 6-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Andre Iguodala | 17 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Precious Achiuwa | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Gabe Vincent | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| KZ Okpala | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Ingles * | 32 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Royce O'Neale * | 31 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 8 | - | - | |
| Donovan Mitchell * | 31 | 9-21 | 3-12 | 5-7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gobert * | 30 | 6-7 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | - | - | |
| Bojan Bogdanovic * | 30 | 7-13 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Jordan Clarkson | 28 | 4-15 | 2-9 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Georges Niang | 17 | 5-9 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Derrick Favors | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Miye Oni | 13 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jarrell Brantley | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Juwan Morgan | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Trent Forrest | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Shaquille Harrison | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter