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2021-02-14

Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 46.2% 53.8% -
Bradley-Terry 29.7% 70.3% -
Margin 25.5% 74.5% +5.9 (16.1 off)
Pythagorean 34.2% 65.8% -
Efficiency 16.8% 83.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 21.1% 78.9% -
Log Adjusted 21.0% 79.0% -
Points Off/Def 26.2% 73.8% -

Actual: New York Knicks +22 (121-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Eric Gordon * 34 8-14 1-7 7-7 2 6 1 1 24 - -
P.J. Tucker * 30 0-4 0-4 0-0 8 1 0 0 0 - -
John Wall * 30 9-20 3-6 5-6 2 4 2 0 26 - -
Jae'Sean Tate * 27 4-10 1-4 0-0 4 2 0 0 9 - -
DeMarcus Cousins * 21 4-9 0-3 2-2 10 2 0 0 10 - -
Sterling Brown 25 4-8 3-5 0-0 6 0 0 0 11 - -
David Nwaba 22 2-6 0-3 7-8 4 0 1 0 11 - -
Danuel House Jr. 22 0-8 0-5 0-0 2 1 0 3 0 - -
Mason Jones 8 0-3 0-3 1-2 4 1 0 0 1 - -
Ray Spalding 8 1-2 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 1 2 - -
Rodions Kurucs 3 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 - -
Ben McLemore 3 0-2 0-2 3-3 1 0 0 0 3 - -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julius Randle * 33 7-15 1-2 7-8 9 2 0 1 22 - -
Nerlens Noel * 32 5-6 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 2 10 - -
Reggie Bullock * 25 3-5 3-5 0-0 3 1 0 0 9 - -
RJ Barrett * 22 2-8 0-1 3-4 4 5 0 0 7 - -
Elfrid Payton * 21 7-11 1-1 0-0 2 3 1 0 15 - -
Alec Burks 23 1-7 1-5 0-0 4 4 1 0 3 - -
Derrick Rose 22 5-11 1-3 5-7 1 3 0 0 16 - -
Immanuel Quickley 21 7-9 4-6 4-4 4 2 0 0 22 - -
Taj Gibson 15 2-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 4 - -
Obi Toppin 14 5-9 1-4 0-0 3 0 0 1 11 - -
Kevin Knox II 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 - -
Austin Rivers 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Theo Pinson 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter