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2021-02-14

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 22.4% 77.6% -
Bradley-Terry 35.9% 64.1% -
Margin 34.6% 65.4% +3.5 (15.5 off)
Pythagorean 44.7% 55.3% -
Efficiency 39.9% 60.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 37.9% 62.1% -
Log Adjusted 37.9% 62.1% -
Points Off/Def 37.6% 62.4% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks -12 (113-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Doug McDermott * 36 9-16 3-6 5-5 3 3 0 0 26 - -
Myles Turner * 33 6-11 2-4 5-7 10 1 1 2 19 - -
Malcolm Brogdon * 33 5-13 2-5 6-6 6 8 1 1 18 - -
Justin Holiday * 29 5-9 3-7 2-2 2 2 1 0 15 - -
Domantas Sabonis * 27 7-14 0-3 0-0 13 7 1 1 14 - -
T.J. McConnell 32 3-8 0-1 0-0 3 12 4 2 6 - -
Aaron Holiday 22 7-11 1-2 3-4 2 1 0 0 18 - -
Jeremy Lamb 19 2-5 1-3 2-3 4 0 0 0 7 - -
JaKarr Sampson 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Kelan Martin 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trae Young * 36 3-9 0-0 9-11 1 14 0 0 15 - -
John Collins * 36 7-17 0-3 4-4 9 2 0 1 18 - -
Kevin Huerter * 35 4-10 2-8 0-0 5 10 1 1 10 - -
Cam Reddish * 28 6-10 3-7 3-4 1 1 1 1 18 - -
Clint Capela * 27 12-17 0-0 0-0 10 1 1 1 24 - -
Danilo Gallinari 26 7-14 4-8 2-4 7 0 1 0 20 - -
Solomon Hill 18 1-5 0-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 - -
Brandon Goodwin 16 3-6 0-1 0-0 1 4 1 0 6 - -
Skylar Mays 9 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Bruno Fernando 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter