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2021-02-13

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 26.3% 73.7% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 33.7% 66.3% - ✓
Margin 31.3% 68.7% +4.3 ✓ (4.7 off)
Pythagorean 47.5% 52.5% - ✓
Efficiency 48.4% 51.6% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 44.6% 55.4% - ✓
Log Adjusted 44.6% 55.4% - ✓
Points Off/Def 41.7% 58.3% - ✓

Actual: Phoenix Suns +9 (120-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tobias Harris * 36 7-9 0-0 4-4 5 5 0 0 18 - -
Joel Embiid * 36 12-23 2-2 9-10 8 2 1 0 35 - -
Seth Curry * 34 3-9 1-5 3-4 1 4 0 0 10 - -
Ben Simmons * 34 6-9 0-0 6-9 6 4 2 0 18 - -
Danny Green * 30 4-5 2-3 0-0 4 0 2 1 10 - -
Furkan Korkmaz 15 0-5 0-3 2-2 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Matisse Thybulle 14 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 5 - -
Mike Scott 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 - -
Dwight Howard 9 0-2 0-0 2-2 6 0 0 0 2 - -
Tyrese Maxey 9 2-6 0-1 2-2 0 3 0 0 6 - -
Isaiah Joe 1 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 - -
Terrance Ferguson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Tony Bradley 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 33 14-23 3-5 5-6 5 4 0 0 36 - -
Chris Paul * 33 8-13 2-4 0-0 8 10 1 1 18 - -
Deandre Ayton * 26 5-6 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 0 11 - -
Mikal Bridges * 24 1-5 0-3 2-2 2 1 0 0 4 - -
Frank Kaminsky * 10 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 - -
Jae Crowder 32 3-4 2-3 0-0 4 1 0 1 8 - -
Cameron Johnson 23 3-4 1-2 2-3 2 2 1 0 9 - -
Dario Saric 19 5-10 1-4 4-4 2 4 4 1 15 - -
Cameron Payne 14 2-4 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 4 - -
E'Twaun Moore 14 5-6 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 11 - -
Jevon Carter 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Jalen Smith 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Abdel Nader 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Damian Jones 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter