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2021-02-13

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 35.9% 64.1% -
Bradley-Terry 47.1% 52.9% -
Margin 56.1% 43.9% -1.4 (11.4 off)
Pythagorean 45.1% 54.9% -
Efficiency 41.3% 58.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 42.3% 57.7% -
Log Adjusted 42.4% 57.6% -
Points Off/Def 39.7% 60.3% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +10 (115-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ja Morant * 35 7-18 1-4 7-8 3 10 0 0 22 - -
Grayson Allen * 34 8-13 6-10 1-1 3 1 2 0 23 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 32 9-13 1-1 3-4 8 5 0 0 22 - -
Dillon Brooks * 30 5-13 2-4 0-0 0 2 2 0 12 - -
Kyle Anderson * 30 2-7 0-3 2-2 6 5 3 1 6 - -
Tyus Jones 25 3-8 0-3 0-0 3 8 1 0 6 - -
Xavier Tillman 19 3-5 2-3 0-0 2 0 0 1 8 - -
John Konchar 17 1-2 0-1 1-2 5 0 1 0 3 - -
Gorgui Dieng 14 1-1 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 3 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Davis * 34 16-27 0-3 3-4 9 1 2 1 35 - -
LeBron James * 34 9-15 1-4 9-14 9 8 2 0 28 - -
Marc Gasol * 27 2-5 2-5 0-0 2 1 0 1 6 - -
Dennis Schroder * 21 1-4 0-2 0-0 3 3 0 0 2 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 19 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 2 1 0 3 - -
Kyle Kuzma 32 8-14 2-8 2-2 10 2 1 0 20 - -
Wesley Matthews 22 0-2 0-2 3-3 1 2 1 1 3 - -
Alex Caruso 20 1-4 0-3 0-0 3 6 2 0 2 - -
Montrezl Harrell 16 4-8 0-0 6-10 7 0 0 1 14 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Quinn Cook 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Alfonzo McKinnie 2 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter