Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.2% | 65.8% | +3.6 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 6.6% | 93.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.5% | 90.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.5% | 90.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 16.9% | 83.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +2 (97-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamidou Diallo * | 36 | 6-15 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams * | 35 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 11 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 30 | 6-14 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Darius Bazley * | 29 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Al Horford * | 28 | 6-15 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Justin Jackson | 27 | 7-11 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 22 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Roby | 19 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Darius Miller | 10 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 37 | 8-19 | 3-11 | 3-4 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 36 | 9-16 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 13 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 35 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Paul Millsap * | 33 | 6-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 31 | 7-13 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | - | - | |
| R.J. Hampton | 18 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris | 17 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 16 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter