Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.0% | 76.0% | +6.3 | ✓ (6.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +13 (143-130). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zion Williamson * | 37 | 14-15 | 0-1 | 8-11 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 36 | - | - | |
| Brandon Ingram * | 34 | 11-23 | 4-9 | 4-4 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Lonzo Ball * | 32 | 4-12 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Eric Bledsoe * | 32 | 5-7 | 4-4 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams * | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Josh Hart | 30 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Willy Hernangomez | 21 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Kira Lewis Jr. | 16 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| JJ Redick | 14 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 40 | 17-30 | 5-8 | 7-9 | 8 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 46 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber * | 37 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 34 | 5-6 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 32 | 13-21 | 8-13 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 36 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson * | 32 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 22 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 21 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Willie Cauley-Stein | 13 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Trey Burke | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter