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2021-02-12

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 26.1% 73.9% -
Bradley-Terry 29.0% 71.0% -
Margin 19.7% 80.3% +7.7 (6.3 off)
Pythagorean 46.0% 54.0% -
Efficiency 44.1% 55.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 43.5% 56.5% -
Log Adjusted 43.5% 56.5% -
Points Off/Def 40.4% 59.6% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +14 (120-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Fred VanVleet * 37 2-9 1-4 0-0 3 11 2 2 5 - -
Pascal Siakam * 35 8-14 2-4 5-7 4 2 1 0 23 - -
Kyle Lowry * 32 10-15 1-4 3-3 1 6 1 0 24 - -
Norman Powell * 31 6-15 0-4 3-3 4 0 0 0 15 - -
Aron Baynes * 20 4-9 0-1 0-0 8 2 0 0 8 - -
Chris Boucher 25 4-8 2-4 2-4 6 1 1 5 12 - -
DeAndre' Bembry 22 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 1 4 - -
Stanley Johnson 16 3-5 1-3 2-2 3 0 2 0 9 - -
Terence Davis 13 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Paul Watson 2 2-2 2-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 6 - -
Matt Thomas 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 36 5-13 1-3 6-6 6 9 2 0 17 - -
Jaylen Brown * 32 3-14 0-4 6-6 5 10 2 1 12 - -
Semi Ojeleye * 30 8-12 6-8 2-2 6 0 0 0 24 - -
Kemba Walker * 29 5-12 5-8 6-6 5 3 1 0 21 - -
Daniel Theis * 27 4-7 0-2 0-2 5 3 2 4 8 - -
Payton Pritchard 29 6-10 6-8 2-2 5 1 0 0 20 - -
Tristan Thompson 18 2-6 0-0 0-2 11 1 0 0 4 - -
Grant Williams 17 2-4 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 1 4 - -
Javonte Green 8 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 3 - -
Carsen Edwards 5 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Aaron Nesmith 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Tacko Fall 2 2-3 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 4 - -
Tremont Waters 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter