Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 35.7% | 64.3% | +3.2 | ✗ (14.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks -11 (114-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakob Poeltl * | 28 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 14 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson * | 27 | 8-11 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 25 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 24 | 7-13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Derrick White * | 16 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Patty Mills | 20 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV | 19 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gay | 18 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell | 12 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Quinndary Weatherspoon | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Collins * | 23 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Kevin Huerter * | 23 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Trae Young * | 23 | 8-15 | 2-6 | 7-8 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Cam Reddish * | 21 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 2-5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 21 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | - | - | |
| Solomon Hill | 21 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Tony Snell | 17 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Danilo Gallinari | 16 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Skylar Mays | 16 | 7-10 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Brandon Goodwin | 15 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Bruno Fernando | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Nathan Knight | 9 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
* = starter