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2021-02-12

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 32.9% 67.1% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 51.3% 48.7% - ✗
Margin 60.7% 39.3% -2.4 ✗ (6.4 off)
Pythagorean 52.5% 47.5% - ✗
Efficiency 66.0% 34.0% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 61.5% 38.5% - ✗
Log Adjusted 61.5% 38.5% - ✗
Points Off/Def 53.1% 46.9% - ✗

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +4 (118-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tobias Harris * 37 4-12 0-5 9-9 6 5 0 1 17 - -
Ben Simmons * 36 10-12 0-0 3-3 11 9 1 1 23 - -
Joel Embiid * 34 13-25 1-2 8-11 9 3 0 2 35 - -
Seth Curry * 34 6-13 3-7 0-0 4 2 0 0 15 - -
Danny Green * 31 2-4 1-3 0-0 4 0 2 0 5 - -
Furkan Korkmaz 23 3-7 0-4 1-1 5 0 1 0 7 - -
Matisse Thybulle 15 1-3 1-3 1-2 1 1 2 0 4 - -
Dwight Howard 13 1-2 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 1 3 - -
Tyrese Maxey 12 2-8 0-3 1-1 1 0 0 0 5 - -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gary Trent Jr. * 36 7-12 5-7 0-0 4 0 1 0 19 - -
Damian Lillard * 35 6-21 4-11 14-15 2 7 2 0 30 - -
Enes Kanter * 31 5-12 0-0 0-0 14 2 0 0 10 - -
Robert Covington * 25 2-5 1-4 0-0 5 2 1 1 5 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. * 23 3-9 2-5 1-2 7 1 0 1 9 - -
Carmelo Anthony 25 9-15 4-5 2-2 2 0 0 0 24 - -
Rodney Hood 23 4-10 0-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 8 - -
Anfernee Simons 22 4-8 1-4 2-2 2 2 0 0 11 - -
Harry Giles III 14 0-1 0-0 2-2 7 0 1 0 2 - -

* = starter