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2021-02-12

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 30.7% 69.3% -
Bradley-Terry 25.3% 74.7% -
Margin 15.7% 84.3% +9.2 (3.2 off)
Pythagorean 31.8% 68.2% -
Efficiency 14.6% 85.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 17.7% 82.3% -
Log Adjusted 17.6% 82.4% -
Points Off/Def 23.8% 76.2% -

Actual: Golden State Warriors +6 (111-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
James Ennis III * 38 7-12 3-5 0-0 10 1 2 0 17 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 37 8-23 3-6 6-6 13 5 0 0 25 - -
Dwayne Bacon * 36 7-18 4-7 2-2 3 1 3 0 20 - -
Gary Clark * 15 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 1 2 - -
Frank Mason * 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Terrence Ross 40 8-27 2-8 2-3 6 3 0 3 20 - -
Chuma Okeke 35 3-9 3-5 0-0 5 5 1 0 9 - -
Khem Birch 23 3-4 0-1 3-5 8 2 0 2 9 - -
Mo Bamba 7 1-2 0-0 1-2 2 1 1 0 3 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 37 14-26 10-19 2-2 8 5 4 0 40 - -
Draymond Green * 36 3-7 0-1 2-3 6 11 1 2 8 - -
Andrew Wiggins * 34 8-13 2-5 3-5 7 3 0 3 21 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. * 33 6-12 3-7 2-2 10 4 0 0 17 - -
Juan Toscano-Anderson * 20 4-10 1-4 0-0 5 2 1 1 9 - -
Damion Lee 21 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Mychal Mulder 16 4-6 3-5 0-0 5 1 0 0 11 - -
Kent Bazemore 13 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 - -
Brad Wanamaker 13 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Eric Paschall 12 1-5 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter