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2021-02-11

Model Predictions

Model Oklahoma City Thunder Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 43.4% 56.6% - ✓
Margin 50.5% 49.5% -0.1 ✗ (1.1 off)
Pythagorean 28.0% 72.0% - ✓
Efficiency 9.6% 90.4% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 12.1% 87.9% - ✓
Log Adjusted 12.0% 88.0% - ✓
Points Off/Def 18.9% 81.1% - ✓

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +1 (114-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darius Bazley * 42 4-15 1-4 0-0 7 2 0 1 9 - -
Luguentz Dort * 41 7-17 0-5 3-3 5 4 2 0 17 - -
Kenrich Williams * 40 11-14 2-3 0-0 6 2 3 0 24 - -
Hamidou Diallo * 37 5-13 0-2 5-7 13 5 0 2 15 - -
Al Horford * 33 11-18 1-4 2-2 8 8 4 1 25 - -
Justin Jackson 27 4-9 1-5 0-0 1 4 1 0 9 - -
Mike Muscala 27 2-10 0-5 2-2 3 7 0 0 6 - -
Darius Miller 14 3-4 2-3 0-0 3 0 1 0 8 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 41 9-20 3-9 4-4 6 7 2 0 25 - -
Kyle Kuzma * 38 7-14 1-3 0-0 9 1 1 0 15 - -
Dennis Schroder * 38 5-11 1-3 8-8 7 5 1 0 19 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 20 2-6 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 4 - -
Marc Gasol * 20 3-5 1-3 1-1 4 1 0 2 8 - -
Montrezl Harrell 32 8-10 0-0 4-5 4 3 0 2 20 - -
Wesley Matthews 29 3-9 3-8 1-2 2 2 1 1 10 - -
Markieff Morris 24 3-6 1-4 2-4 6 0 1 0 9 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 18 2-8 0-3 0-0 3 2 0 1 4 - -

* = starter