🐻⬇️🏀

@
2021-02-11

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 18.5% 81.5% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 37.9% 62.1% - ✓
Margin 37.1% 62.9% +2.9 ✓ (1.9 off)
Pythagorean 46.6% 53.4% - ✓
Efficiency 46.1% 53.9% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 43.6% 56.4% - ✓
Log Adjusted 43.6% 56.4% - ✓
Points Off/Def 41.2% 58.8% - ✓

Actual: Phoenix Suns +1 (125-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 37 15-23 0-4 17-21 11 5 1 0 47 - -
Khris Middleton * 35 7-17 3-6 1-3 5 11 1 0 18 - -
Brook Lopez * 31 3-6 2-4 2-2 6 2 0 0 10 - -
Donte DiVincenzo * 31 4-9 2-6 0-0 6 3 2 0 10 - -
Bryn Forbes * 30 6-9 5-8 0-0 0 0 0 0 17 - -
Pat Connaughton 20 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 - -
Bobby Portis 19 5-7 1-1 1-2 9 1 1 0 12 - -
D.J. Augustin 18 2-9 2-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 6 - -
Torrey Craig 14 1-2 1-2 1-2 1 0 0 0 4 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 39 11-21 1-4 7-9 6 3 0 0 30 - -
Frank Kaminsky * 34 4-10 2-4 4-6 8 8 0 0 14 - -
Mikal Bridges * 32 6-7 3-3 0-0 4 1 0 0 15 - -
Chris Paul * 32 10-20 4-7 4-4 3 7 2 1 28 - -
Deandre Ayton * 29 7-10 1-1 2-2 7 0 0 0 17 - -
Jae Crowder 26 2-6 1-3 1-2 14 2 1 1 6 - -
Cameron Johnson 20 3-7 3-7 0-0 3 1 1 0 9 - -
E'Twaun Moore 18 3-5 0-1 0-2 2 1 2 0 6 - -
Langston Galloway 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 - -

* = starter