Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.7% | 64.3% | +3.2 | ✓ (34.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 9.4% | 90.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.5% | 88.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.5% | 88.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +38 (133-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac Okoro * | 29 | 5-12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Collin Sexton * | 28 | 1-9 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Darius Garland * | 26 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jarrett Allen * | 25 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Andre Drummond * | 16 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Taurean Prince | 24 | 4-10 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Cedi Osman | 21 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Dylan Windler | 17 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Lamar Stevens | 16 | 1-9 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Damyean Dotson | 14 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| JaVale McGee | 10 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - | - | |
| Dean Wade | 7 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 29 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 27 | 6-10 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 19 | - | - | |
| Paul Millsap * | 26 | 7-8 | 2-3 | 6-7 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 26 | 7-10 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris | 20 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| R.J. Hampton | 19 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 18 | 5-7 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 13 | 4-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 12 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - | - | |
| Markus Howard | 6 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Bol Bol | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter