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2021-02-11

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 41.8% 58.2% -
Bradley-Terry 26.0% 74.0% -
Margin 18.4% 81.6% +8.2 (7.8 off)
Pythagorean 42.7% 57.3% -
Efficiency 37.0% 63.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 33.2% 66.8% -
Log Adjusted 33.2% 66.8% -
Points Off/Def 34.5% 65.5% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +16 (130-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Terry Rozier * 33 12-17 6-9 4-4 3 3 1 0 34 - -
Gordon Hayward * 30 7-11 1-2 0-0 4 2 0 0 15 - -
P.J. Washington * 28 2-7 0-2 1-2 3 4 0 1 5 - -
LaMelo Ball * 28 8-15 1-4 0-0 2 5 3 1 17 - -
Cody Zeller * 22 4-9 1-1 0-0 3 4 1 0 9 - -
Miles Bridges 30 5-9 2-4 3-4 10 2 1 1 15 - -
Malik Monk 23 2-8 2-5 0-0 2 1 0 0 6 - -
Caleb Martin 17 0-1 0-1 2-2 2 0 3 0 2 - -
Bismack Biyombo 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 2 - -
Cody Martin 12 4-4 1-1 0-0 2 2 2 0 9 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ja Morant * 30 6-14 1-3 2-4 3 11 1 0 15 - -
Dillon Brooks * 29 8-13 4-8 0-0 2 4 1 0 20 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 28 6-13 0-2 0-0 15 3 2 0 12 - -
Desmond Bane * 25 6-11 4-8 2-2 1 2 2 0 18 - -
Kyle Anderson * 24 10-14 6-8 1-2 2 3 0 1 27 - -
Grayson Allen 29 5-13 5-12 3-4 3 3 1 0 18 - -
Tyus Jones 21 4-7 3-4 1-2 3 3 1 0 12 - -
Gorgui Dieng 19 0-2 0-2 2-2 8 1 1 0 2 - -
Xavier Tillman 16 2-4 0-0 2-2 3 3 0 0 6 - -
John Konchar 12 0-3 0-2 0-0 6 1 1 1 0 - -

* = starter