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2021-02-11

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 24.3% 75.7% -
Bradley-Terry 33.7% 66.3% -
Margin 32.5% 67.5% +4.0 (9.0 off)
Pythagorean 48.1% 51.9% -
Efficiency 49.2% 50.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 52.5% 47.5% -
Log Adjusted 52.6% 47.4% -
Points Off/Def 46.6% 53.4% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls +13 (129-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Ingram * 38 6-19 2-9 7-8 5 4 1 0 21 - -
Zion Williamson * 36 12-18 0-1 5-6 4 2 1 0 29 - -
Lonzo Ball * 33 6-13 4-10 5-5 5 7 2 0 21 - -
Steven Adams * 21 1-2 0-0 1-1 6 2 2 0 3 - -
Eric Bledsoe * 17 2-5 1-3 0-0 2 3 0 0 5 - -
Josh Hart 27 3-6 2-5 0-0 6 3 2 0 8 - -
Kira Lewis Jr. 23 5-7 2-3 2-4 2 4 2 0 14 - -
JJ Redick 18 2-4 2-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 6 - -
Willy Hernangomez 14 4-5 0-1 1-2 3 0 0 1 9 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 37 17-25 9-14 3-3 7 4 0 1 46 - -
Patrick Williams * 34 2-7 1-2 2-4 5 1 2 2 7 - -
Coby White * 34 10-20 8-17 2-2 2 7 0 0 30 - -
Denzel Valentine * 22 6-11 4-8 0-0 3 2 0 0 16 - -
Daniel Gafford * 16 4-5 0-0 1-2 2 2 0 3 9 - -
Garrett Temple 35 4-5 2-3 0-0 3 7 1 0 10 - -
Thaddeus Young 27 4-6 0-1 0-0 7 4 1 0 8 - -
Tomas Satoransky 19 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 8 0 0 3 - -
Ryan Arcidiacono 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Luke Kornet 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter