Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.7% | 64.3% | +3.2 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +1 (118-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trae Young * | 41 | 8-22 | 4-11 | 5-6 | 7 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| John Collins * | 38 | 13-18 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 33 | - | - | |
| Kevin Huerter * | 34 | 9-15 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Cam Reddish * | 26 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Danilo Gallinari | 30 | 2-12 | 1-7 | 6-6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Tony Snell | 27 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Solomon Hill | 9 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Brandon Goodwin | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Skylar Mays | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 37 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 36 | 9-18 | 2-7 | 8-10 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 28 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson * | 29 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber * | 25 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 19 | 6-14 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 30 | 9-18 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 28 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Willie Cauley-Stein | 23 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Trey Burke | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter