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2021-02-10

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 30.3% 69.7% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 37.1% 62.9% - ✓
Margin 38.4% 61.6% +2.6 ✓ (6.4 off)
Pythagorean 31.9% 68.1% - ✓
Efficiency 15.9% 84.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 17.2% 82.8% - ✓
Log Adjusted 17.1% 82.9% - ✓
Points Off/Def 23.5% 76.5% - ✓

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +9 (106-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nikola Vucevic * 41 10-21 2-7 5-9 15 4 2 2 27 - -
James Ennis III * 34 5-9 3-5 3-5 6 2 1 1 16 - -
Dwayne Bacon * 30 4-12 3-6 0-1 4 2 0 0 11 - -
Gary Clark * 15 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 - -
Cole Anthony * 14 2-7 0-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 4 - -
Frank Mason 33 4-10 1-3 2-3 7 4 0 0 11 - -
Terrence Ross 31 9-18 2-7 2-2 4 1 1 0 22 - -
Chuma Okeke 27 1-5 0-3 0-0 7 5 3 0 2 - -
Khem Birch 6 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 4 - -
Al-Farouq Aminu 4 0-0 0-0 0-2 1 1 0 0 0 - -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Robert Covington * 35 2-6 1-5 0-0 11 4 1 2 5 - -
Gary Trent Jr. * 33 6-18 3-9 0-0 4 6 1 0 15 - -
Damian Lillard * 33 9-22 5-10 13-13 5 2 1 0 36 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. * 29 3-6 1-3 1-1 10 0 0 0 8 - -
Enes Kanter * 27 3-6 0-0 0-0 10 2 1 0 6 - -
Carmelo Anthony 26 7-16 5-9 4-5 3 0 0 3 23 - -
Anfernee Simons 21 4-11 3-8 0-0 5 2 0 0 11 - -
Rodney Hood 16 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 - -
CJ Elleby 9 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 - -
Harry Giles III 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 1 0 - -

* = starter