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2021-02-10

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors San Antonio Spurs Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 53.1% 46.9% - ✓
Margin 62.7% 37.3% -2.9 ✓ (20.1 off)
Pythagorean 50.7% 49.3% - ✓
Efficiency 58.2% 41.8% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 54.2% 45.8% - ✓
Log Adjusted 54.1% 45.9% - ✓
Points Off/Def 49.6% 50.4% - ✗

Actual: San Antonio Spurs -23 (91-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrew Wiggins * 35 5-14 1-5 3-3 3 1 3 0 14 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. * 34 4-14 2-5 2-2 10 1 1 0 12 - -
Draymond Green * 31 3-4 0-0 0-0 7 11 1 0 6 - -
Stephen Curry * 31 11-20 4-10 6-8 4 2 0 0 32 - -
Juan Toscano-Anderson * 26 5-14 1-2 0-2 8 3 1 1 11 - -
Damion Lee 22 4-7 3-6 0-0 4 2 0 1 11 - -
Brad Wanamaker 16 1-3 1-2 0-0 3 4 2 0 3 - -
Kent Bazemore 15 3-6 2-5 2-2 4 0 0 1 10 - -
Eric Paschall 15 6-7 3-3 0-2 6 2 0 0 15 - -
Mychal Mulder 10 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 - -

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Keldon Johnson * 33 5-16 0-2 3-3 6 6 0 1 13 - -
DeMar DeRozan * 28 4-11 0-2 4-4 3 6 0 0 12 - -
Dejounte Murray * 26 4-10 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 8 - -
Devin Vassell * 24 2-7 1-3 1-2 6 0 0 1 6 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 19 2-4 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 2 4 - -
Trey Lyles 25 5-8 1-3 4-4 6 0 0 0 15 - -
Rudy Gay 24 5-11 3-6 4-4 6 1 0 0 17 - -
Patty Mills 23 4-9 3-5 2-2 0 2 1 0 13 - -
Lonnie Walker IV 17 0-5 0-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 - -
Drew Eubanks 9 1-2 0-0 1-2 5 1 0 1 3 - -
Keita Bates-Diop 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 - -
Quinndary Weatherspoon 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter