Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.9% | 54.1% | +0.9 | ✓ (28.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 21.9% | 78.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +29 (130-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Wall * | 34 | 11-23 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Eric Gordon * | 33 | 8-19 | 4-10 | 3-5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| P.J. Tucker * | 28 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate * | 28 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| DeMarcus Cousins * | 22 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 4-6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Danuel House Jr. | 34 | 4-13 | 1-7 | 4-4 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Sterling Brown | 25 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| David Nwaba | 25 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | - | |
| Ben McLemore | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Rodions Kurucs | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Mason Jones | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lonzo Ball * | 29 | 5-12 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Brandon Ingram * | 28 | 9-13 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Eric Bledsoe * | 23 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams * | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Zion Williamson * | 20 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Josh Hart | 40 | 8-16 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 20 | - | - | |
| Willy Hernangomez | 24 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Kira Lewis Jr. | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | 19 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| JJ Redick | 7 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jaxson Hayes | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Sindarius Thornwell | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Wenyen Gabriel | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter