Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.4% | 61.6% | +2.6 | ✗ (15.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -13 (112-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khris Middleton * | 36 | 9-16 | 0-5 | 11-11 | 8 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 34 | 11-23 | 2-5 | 6-8 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 30 | - | - | |
| Donte DiVincenzo * | 30 | 5-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 27 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes * | 25 | 6-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Torrey Craig | 23 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 21 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| D.J. Augustin | 20 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Bobby Portis | 20 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Adams | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 39 | 13-26 | 3-6 | 6-6 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 35 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 38 | 9-16 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 36 | 4-17 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Paul Millsap * | 29 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 26 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris | 29 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 16 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| R.J. Hampton | 16 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter