Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 62.7% | 37.3% | -2.9 | ✗ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +5 (105-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Wiggins * | 38 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 35 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - | - | |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. * | 35 | 9-16 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | - | - | |
| Stephen Curry * | 35 | 10-17 | 6-11 | 6-6 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Juan Toscano-Anderson * | 28 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Damion Lee | 19 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Kent Bazemore | 12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Eric Paschall | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Brad Wanamaker | 12 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Mychal Mulder | 8 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dejounte Murray * | 36 | 10-19 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 35 | 6-15 | 1-3 | 8-8 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 29 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson * | 28 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Derrick White * | 24 | 1-11 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Patty Mills | 28 | 3-10 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gay | 25 | 3-10 | 2-3 | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell | 20 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter