Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.1% | 57.9% | +1.8 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 22.3% | 77.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +5 (127-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Beasley * | 34 | 10-21 | 6-12 | 4-6 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 30 | - | - | |
| Anthony Edwards * | 30 | 8-19 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 22 | - | - | |
| Josh Okogie * | 26 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Naz Reid * | 20 | 3-12 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| D'Angelo Russell * | 5 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Ricky Rubio | 33 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jarred Vanderbilt | 21 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Nowell | 20 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jaden McDaniels | 19 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jake Layman | 11 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Juancho Hernangomez | 8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Ed Davis | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 37 | 9-22 | 1-7 | 7-9 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson * | 36 | 6-10 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 32 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 30 | 10-19 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 27 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber * | 25 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 28 | 9-15 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 19 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Trey Burke | 7 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Wes Iwundu | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter