Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 29.8% | 70.2% | +4.7 | ✗ (19.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -15 (113-128). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam * | 39 | 11-18 | 5-8 | 5-7 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 32 | - | - | |
| Fred VanVleet * | 38 | 8-14 | 4-7 | 12-12 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Norman Powell * | 37 | 10-17 | 6-9 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Aron Baynes * | 18 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Kyle Lowry * | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 29 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| DeAndre' Bembry | 25 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Terence Davis | 16 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Yuta Watanabe | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Stanley Johnson | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Paul Watson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Brooks * | 36 | 8-20 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 22 | - | - | |
| Ja Morant * | 36 | 5-17 | 2-5 | 6-6 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 33 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 11-12 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| Kyle Anderson * | 32 | 6-14 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Desmond Bane * | 26 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Xavier Tillman | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen | 20 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones | 14 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Gorgui Dieng | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| John Konchar | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter