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2021-02-07

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 40.4% 59.6% -
Bradley-Terry 41.9% 58.1% -
Margin 51.6% 48.4% -0.3 (9.3 off)
Pythagorean 41.5% 58.5% -
Efficiency 28.2% 71.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 28.4% 71.6% -
Log Adjusted 28.4% 71.6% -
Points Off/Def 31.4% 68.6% -

Actual: Phoenix Suns +9 (100-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 35 8-22 3-7 4-4 4 7 1 0 23 - -
Kemba Walker * 32 4-20 4-11 2-2 4 2 0 0 14 - -
Grant Williams * 23 4-8 2-6 0-0 1 3 0 1 10 - -
Tristan Thompson * 20 3-8 0-0 0-0 12 2 1 0 6 - -
Carsen Edwards * 17 1-6 0-4 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 - -
Daniel Theis 34 5-9 2-3 0-2 6 2 0 1 12 - -
Payton Pritchard 22 4-9 4-9 0-0 5 1 0 0 12 - -
Semi Ojeleye 20 0-2 0-2 0-0 4 2 2 0 0 - -
Jeff Teague 17 4-8 2-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 10 - -
Robert Williams III 10 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 - -
Javonte Green 5 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Deandre Ayton * 38 7-11 0-1 2-2 11 3 0 1 16 - -
Mikal Bridges * 37 8-13 2-5 1-1 9 2 0 0 19 - -
Devin Booker * 37 7-16 1-4 3-3 7 11 1 1 18 - -
Chris Paul * 32 6-14 0-5 3-3 3 2 1 1 15 - -
Frank Kaminsky * 19 4-6 1-2 0-0 9 2 0 0 9 - -
Cameron Johnson 27 5-10 4-8 3-3 5 1 0 0 17 - -
E'Twaun Moore 24 3-10 0-3 0-0 4 3 2 0 6 - -
Langston Galloway 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Damian Jones 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 2 0 - -
Jevon Carter 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter