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2021-02-07

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 34.7% 65.3% - ✓
Margin 34.7% 65.3% +3.5 ✓ (2.5 off)
Pythagorean 38.3% 61.7% - ✓
Efficiency 24.7% 75.3% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 24.3% 75.7% - ✓
Log Adjusted 24.3% 75.7% - ✓
Points Off/Def 28.4% 71.6% - ✓

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +6 (135-129). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mason Plumlee * 47 6-7 0-0 3-5 8 6 2 2 15 - -
Jerami Grant * 47 11-27 3-11 7-7 4 6 2 1 32 - -
Delon Wright * 45 8-10 4-4 2-4 2 10 1 0 22 - -
Saddiq Bey * 25 1-7 1-3 4-4 2 0 2 0 7 - -
Sekou Doumbouya * 24 1-7 0-5 2-2 3 1 1 0 4 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 38 4-9 3-8 0-0 6 3 2 0 11 - -
Josh Jackson 37 11-20 5-10 1-2 8 3 2 1 28 - -
Isaiah Stewart 10 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 4 - -
Rodney McGruder 6 0-2 0-1 2-2 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Saben Lee 5 1-2 0-0 2-2 0 1 0 0 4 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 46 13-26 3-7 4-6 5 11 4 0 33 - -
Anthony Davis * 44 13-22 1-3 3-4 5 3 1 2 30 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 41 2-6 0-1 0-0 5 3 1 1 4 - -
Dennis Schroder * 40 7-9 0-0 8-8 4 8 0 0 22 - -
Marc Gasol * 20 1-2 1-1 2-2 2 1 0 1 5 - -
Alex Caruso 26 3-5 1-1 3-3 3 0 2 0 10 - -
Kyle Kuzma 24 5-10 3-5 1-2 6 1 1 0 14 - -
Montrezl Harrell 24 2-3 0-0 3-3 8 1 2 1 7 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 21 5-8 0-1 0-0 2 4 1 0 10 - -

* = starter