Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.1% | 49.9% | -0.0 | ✗ (2.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +2 (134-132). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 37 | 19-31 | 11-19 | 8-8 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 57 | - | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 37 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 2 | - | - | |
| Juan Toscano-Anderson * | 33 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. * | 32 | 5-16 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 28 | 9-12 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Kent Bazemore | 23 | 7-11 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Damion Lee | 20 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Brad Wanamaker | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Mychal Mulder | 10 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 38 | 12-23 | 7-12 | 11-14 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 42 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 35 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber * | 32 | 5-11 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 31 | 7-18 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson * | 30 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 27 | 3-15 | 2-9 | 3-3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 22 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Trey Burke | 5 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter