Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.3% | 54.7% | +1.0 | ✗ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets -5 (106-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 37 | 9-16 | 1-3 | 11-12 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 29 | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 32 | 4-13 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 29 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - | |
| Derrick White * | 29 | 6-14 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - | |
| Keldon Johnson * | 25 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 4-7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - | |
| Patty Mills | 29 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - | |
| Rudy Gay | 25 | 4-8 | 3-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 16 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 13 | - | |
| Devin Vassell | 15 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Wall * | 32 | 10-19 | 1-5 | 6-9 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 18 | - | |
| Victor Oladipo * | 32 | 4-14 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - | |
| DeMarcus Cousins * | 30 | 5-12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 16 | - | |
| P.J. Tucker * | 29 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate * | 24 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - | |
| Eric Gordon | 36 | 8-13 | 4-7 | 6-7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 23 | - | |
| Danuel House Jr. | 25 | 4-11 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - | |
| David Nwaba | 22 | 6-7 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - | |
| Sterling Brown | 7 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter