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2021-02-07

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 47.6% 52.4% -
Margin 44.7% 55.3% +1.2 (26.2 off)
Pythagorean 65.3% 34.7% -
Efficiency 86.0% 14.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 83.6% 16.4% -
Log Adjusted 83.6% 16.4% -
Points Off/Def 72.2% 27.8% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -25 (99-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 31 8-15 1-4 7-11 11 5 0 0 24 25 -
Khris Middleton * 29 8-13 4-5 0-0 1 4 1 0 20 13 -
Donte DiVincenzo * 28 3-5 1-2 0-0 5 1 1 0 7 9 -
Brook Lopez * 27 3-10 1-6 0-0 5 0 2 1 7 5 -
Jrue Holiday * 25 8-14 2-4 2-4 3 8 2 1 20 20 -
Bobby Portis 20 1-5 0-1 1-2 8 1 0 0 3 7 -
Bryn Forbes 17 6-7 6-6 0-0 0 1 1 0 18 13 -
D.J. Augustin 17 3-5 1-3 2-2 1 3 2 0 9 10 -
Pat Connaughton 14 3-4 0-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 6 7 -
Torrey Craig 14 3-4 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 6 5 -
Thanasis Antetokounmpo 4 0-0 0-0 2-4 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Jaylen Adams 4 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 1 -
D.J. Wilson 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 1 -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Collin Sexton * 34 6-18 2-6 3-6 3 3 1 0 17 6 -
Darius Garland * 34 7-12 1-5 2-2 1 9 1 0 17 16 -
Andre Drummond * 30 12-17 0-0 4-5 11 2 2 0 28 26 -
Isaac Okoro * 29 0-5 0-3 2-2 5 1 0 0 2 3 -
Larry Nance Jr. * 23 2-3 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 0 4 7 -
Jarrett Allen 24 1-4 0-1 0-0 7 0 0 1 2 6 -
Taurean Prince 19 5-9 2-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 12 7 -
Dylan Windler 19 3-4 0-1 3-4 2 2 0 0 9 9 -
Cedi Osman 15 3-10 1-5 0-0 0 2 0 0 7 -1 -
Dean Wade 5 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Lamar Stevens 4 0-2 0-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 1 -

* = starter