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2021-02-07

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 44.2% 55.8% -
Bradley-Terry 39.0% 61.0% -
Margin 39.9% 60.1% +2.3 (8.7 off)
Pythagorean 44.5% 55.5% -
Efficiency 38.7% 61.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 38.2% 61.8% -
Log Adjusted 38.3% 61.7% -
Points Off/Def 37.5% 62.5% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks +11 (132-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Fred VanVleet * 38 6-18 3-7 10-11 6 10 2 0 25 - -
Kyle Lowry * 36 4-16 1-7 0-0 3 5 0 0 9 - -
Norman Powell * 32 7-15 1-5 5-6 4 2 2 0 20 - -
Pascal Siakam * 32 6-15 1-3 2-2 6 3 3 2 15 - -
Aron Baynes * 15 1-5 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 1 2 - -
Chris Boucher 32 10-13 2-4 7-13 10 1 0 2 29 - -
Terence Davis 16 2-6 1-5 2-2 3 1 0 0 7 - -
DeAndre' Bembry 16 2-4 2-3 0-0 3 1 1 0 6 - -
Stanley Johnson 10 3-4 2-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 8 - -
Yuta Watanabe 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Huerter * 36 6-9 5-8 2-2 3 4 0 0 19 - -
Trae Young * 36 6-15 2-4 14-14 2 13 0 2 28 - -
John Collins * 34 6-11 3-6 4-4 7 4 0 3 19 - -
Cam Reddish * 30 3-6 2-4 2-2 5 1 0 0 10 - -
Clint Capela * 28 10-13 0-0 3-5 16 0 0 4 23 - -
Danilo Gallinari 24 4-6 3-5 3-3 5 4 0 0 14 - -
Tony Snell 17 2-4 2-4 0-0 2 2 0 1 6 - -
Solomon Hill 11 3-5 2-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 8 - -
Rajon Rondo 11 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 2 1 0 2 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 7 1-2 0-0 1-3 2 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter