Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.2% | 23.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 67.5% | 32.5% | -4.0 | ✗ (9.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 73.2% | 26.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.9% | 29.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.9% | 29.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings +5 (119-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 41 | 20-33 | 3-6 | 7-7 | 8 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 50 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 37 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris * | 34 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 33 | 3-11 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - | - | |
| Paul Millsap * | 22 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| R.J. Hampton | 27 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 25 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Markus Howard | 12 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buddy Hield * | 39 | 1-11 | 0-9 | 3-4 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 38 | 10-16 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 38 | 9-20 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Richaun Holmes * | 30 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | - | - | |
| Marvin Bagley III * | 17 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Tyrese Haliburton | 35 | 8-12 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Hassan Whiteside | 17 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - | - | |
| Cory Joseph | 17 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Glenn Robinson III | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter