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2021-02-06

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 58.0% 42.0% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 33.3% 66.7% - ✓
Margin 21.6% 78.4% +7.1 ✓ (3.9 off)
Pythagorean 45.2% 54.8% - ✓
Efficiency 40.9% 59.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 44.8% 55.2% - ✓
Log Adjusted 44.7% 55.3% - ✓
Points Off/Def 42.0% 58.0% - ✓

Actual: New York Knicks +11 (110-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damian Lillard * 38 10-20 6-12 3-5 4 9 4 0 29 - -
Robert Covington * 36 4-10 3-9 2-2 10 1 2 1 13 - -
Gary Trent Jr. * 34 8-20 3-11 0-2 6 0 0 0 19 - -
Enes Kanter * 33 6-10 0-0 1-2 11 0 0 4 13 - -
Rodney Hood * 33 3-10 1-6 0-2 1 0 0 0 7 - -
Anfernee Simons 18 4-8 3-6 1-1 1 3 1 0 12 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. 18 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 - -
Carmelo Anthony 16 1-8 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 2 2 - -
Harry Giles III 9 0-0 0-0 1-2 5 1 0 0 1 - -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julius Randle * 38 7-16 2-4 6-8 11 4 0 0 22 - -
Elfrid Payton * 35 10-19 1-4 1-3 7 4 0 1 22 - -
RJ Barrett * 34 8-14 2-2 0-0 7 3 0 0 18 - -
Mitchell Robinson * 33 3-4 0-0 0-0 10 1 2 2 6 - -
Reggie Bullock * 26 4-6 2-4 0-0 1 1 0 2 10 - -
Alec Burks 27 6-16 4-9 0-0 8 1 2 0 16 - -
Taj Gibson 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 - -
Immanuel Quickley 12 4-8 2-5 2-2 2 3 1 0 12 - -
Obi Toppin 9 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -
Austin Rivers 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter