Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.4% | 79.6% | +7.5 | ✓ (9.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 16.4% | 83.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.4% | 83.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.4% | 83.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns +17 (109-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerami Grant * | 32 | 7-16 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Saddiq Bey * | 25 | 5-13 | 2-8 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Mason Plumlee * | 24 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright * | 24 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Blake Griffin * | 23 | 2-9 | 0-5 | 5-7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Josh Jackson | 24 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 3-6 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Stewart | 23 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Sekou Doumbouya | 18 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Svi Mykhailiuk | 15 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Rodney McGruder | 14 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Saben Lee | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Frank Jackson | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deandre Ayton * | 32 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Mikal Bridges * | 31 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Devin Booker * | 30 | 8-14 | 3-7 | 4-6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 29 | 7-14 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Frank Kaminsky * | 21 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| E'Twaun Moore | 20 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Cameron Johnson | 20 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Abdel Nader | 16 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Damian Jones | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Langston Galloway | 15 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jevon Carter | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jalen Smith | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter