Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.7% | 55.3% | +1.2 | ✗ (19.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 86.0% | 14.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.6% | 16.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.6% | 16.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 72.2% | 27.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -18 (105-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 33 | 13-25 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 33 | - | - | |
| Khris Middleton * | 30 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jrue Holiday * | 29 | 8-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 28 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Donte DiVincenzo * | 28 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 1-3 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Bobby Portis | 23 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| D.J. Augustin | 18 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 18 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes | 17 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Torrey Craig | 10 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Adams | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collin Sexton * | 37 | 7-17 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Taurean Prince * | 32 | 4-10 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Isaac Okoro * | 31 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Andre Drummond * | 29 | 9-19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Darius Garland * | 29 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Cedi Osman | 22 | 4-11 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jarrett Allen | 21 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Lamar Stevens | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Dylan Windler | 15 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Dean Wade | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter