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2021-02-06

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Brooklyn Nets Spread Result
Elo 72.0% 28.0% -
Bradley-Terry 42.2% 57.8% -
Margin 44.3% 55.7% +1.3 (7.3 off)
Pythagorean 41.1% 58.9% -
Efficiency 27.3% 72.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 29.4% 70.6% -
Log Adjusted 29.4% 70.6% -
Points Off/Def 31.3% 68.7% -

Actual: Brooklyn Nets -6 (117-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Fred VanVleet * 38 4-16 1-9 2-2 4 4 2 2 11 - -
Pascal Siakam * 38 12-23 0-2 9-10 11 6 3 1 33 - -
Kyle Lowry * 37 12-18 6-9 0-0 5 7 2 0 30 - -
Norman Powell * 36 7-13 3-5 1-1 5 0 0 1 18 - -
Aron Baynes * 17 4-7 1-1 0-0 4 0 1 0 9 - -
Chris Boucher 26 8-14 1-2 0-1 9 0 0 2 17 - -
DeAndre' Bembry 24 2-4 1-2 0-0 2 4 1 0 5 - -
Stanley Johnson 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Yuta Watanabe 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 - -

Brooklyn Nets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
James Harden * 39 4-8 2-5 7-9 7 12 2 0 17 - -
Joe Harris * 36 6-9 5-8 2-2 5 2 0 0 19 - -
Kyrie Irving * 35 6-12 0-4 3-4 5 5 0 1 15 - -
Bruce Brown * 25 5-9 0-1 3-4 6 2 0 1 13 - -
DeAndre Jordan * 18 4-4 0-0 2-2 4 1 1 2 10 - -
Jeff Green 29 4-12 3-8 4-6 3 0 0 1 15 - -
Landry Shamet 21 4-11 4-9 0-0 2 2 0 0 12 - -
Kevin Durant 19 3-8 1-3 1-2 6 5 1 1 8 - -
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot 14 3-7 2-4 0-0 2 0 1 0 8 - -

* = starter