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2021-02-06

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 40.4% 59.6% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 52.9% 47.1% - ✗
Margin 56.6% 43.4% -1.5 ✗ (5.5 off)
Pythagorean 60.4% 39.6% - ✗
Efficiency 76.0% 24.0% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 71.2% 28.8% - ✗
Log Adjusted 71.3% 28.7% - ✗
Points Off/Def 60.3% 39.7% - ✗

Actual: Orlando Magic +4 (123-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 36 9-21 1-5 7-7 4 8 1 0 26 - -
Patrick Williams * 33 7-11 0-1 6-6 7 1 2 1 20 - -
Coby White * 33 6-17 4-9 0-0 1 3 0 1 16 - -
Lauri Markkanen * 17 5-9 2-5 1-1 5 0 0 0 13 - -
Daniel Gafford * 10 2-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 4 - -
Thaddeus Young 32 7-10 0-0 1-2 7 5 2 0 15 - -
Garrett Temple 30 2-10 0-4 1-2 3 5 2 2 5 - -
Tomas Satoransky 21 2-4 0-0 2-2 4 4 0 0 6 - -
Denzel Valentine 20 6-12 2-6 0-0 4 1 2 0 14 - -
Chandler Hutchison 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nikola Vucevic * 37 17-29 4-10 5-6 19 4 0 1 43 - -
Cole Anthony * 32 6-10 2-3 3-5 4 9 2 0 17 - -
Evan Fournier * 29 6-13 3-7 5-6 3 4 0 0 20 - -
James Ennis III * 23 3-5 0-0 8-8 3 0 1 0 14 - -
Gary Clark * 16 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Terrence Ross 30 3-5 1-3 0-0 4 2 1 0 7 - -
Khem Birch 18 2-5 0-0 3-5 6 3 1 1 7 - -
Dwayne Bacon 18 2-5 0-1 3-5 3 0 0 0 7 - -
Chuma Okeke 17 2-4 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 0 4 - -
Frank Mason 15 1-4 1-1 1-2 1 4 0 0 4 - -

* = starter